TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 6:01 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexey Aleshchev and Pavel Skvortcov in the M15 Baku, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexey Aleshchev' if Alexey Aleshchev advances against Pavel Skvortcov. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Skvortcov' if Pavel Skvortcov advances against Alexey Aleshchev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexey Aleshchev and Pavel Skvortcov in the M15 Baku, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexey Aleshchev' if Alexey Aleshchev advances against Pavel Skvortcov. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Skvortcov' if Pavel Skvortcov advances against Alexey Aleshchev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Polymarket will shift accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before an event, as prediction markets can incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbooks. Analyzing these differences can offer valuable insights.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, reflecting the collective intelligence of the crowd. The market’s efficiency depends on the number of traders and the information they possess, leading to a dynamic and potentially accurate forecast of the event's result.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Baku M15 tennis match between Alexey Aleshchev and Pavel Skvortcov. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even comments from analysts, might also cause price fluctuations. Strong support for one player on social media or in tennis forums could also contribute to movement. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact is key to understanding how this market might evolve leading up to Sep 28, 2026.