TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 2:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between M. Herzliya and FC Kafr Qasim, focusing on determining whether either team wins or if the game ends in a tie within regular time. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match is canceled or significantly rescheduled, a fair price adjustment will apply.
The event resolves based on the outcome of the M. Herzliya vs FC Kafr Qasim professional Liga Leumit soccer match scheduled for September 14, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to possible results: M. Herzliya win, FC Kafr Qasim win, or a tie. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if its specific condition is met—meaning M. Herzliya wins, FC Kafr Qasim wins, or the game ends level after regular time. The rules explicitly exclude extra time and penalty shootouts from determining the outcome. If the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at traditional sportsbooks due to the differing incentives and information sources of participants. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, while prediction market participants are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially incorporating information not fully captured by sportsbook models. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges and the event draws nearer. Examining these differences can provide insights into public perception and potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and place orders, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time forecast. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the volume of buy and sell orders at various price points, indicates the level of confidence traders have in their predictions. A higher volume generally suggests greater consensus.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Herzliya vs FC Kafr Qasim match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or significant shifts in team form could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, as could pre-match analysis from sports commentators and experts. Major upsets in related matches or league standings could also indirectly affect the market. Monitoring these signals and events can help understand potential shifts in the probabilities reflected in this market.