TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 8, 1:54 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of maps played in a League of Legends match between LYON and Team Secret Whales at the Mid-Season Invitational 2026. League of Legends competitive matches are best-of series where teams compete across multiple individual maps until one team wins the required number of games.
The event resolves based on the total number of maps played in the LYON vs. Team Secret Whales League of Legends match at the Mid-Season Invitational 2026 scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT. Markets within this event correspond to different map count thresholds. Each market resolves to Yes if the total number of maps played exceeds its specified threshold, and resolves to No if the match concludes with a total number of maps equal to or below that threshold. The resolution is determined by the official match results from the tournament.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market's odds may lead or lag sportsbook lines depending on information flow and trader conviction. Comparing the two can reveal value opportunities, though each venue serves distinct purposes—prediction markets emphasize discovery, while sportsbooks prioritize liquidity and fixed pricing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing different map total outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the ratio of buy to sell pressure at any moment, with the implied probability derived from the current market price. As new information emerges or trader sentiment shifts, prices adjust dynamically. This continuous repricing ensures the market remains responsive to changing expectations about the total maps in the LYON vs. Team Secret Whales match.
This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, once the matchup concludes and the total number of maps is confirmed. The outcome will be verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy. Until that point, prices may fluctuate as new developments or team information influence trader expectations. Resolution is final once the event is complete and the map count is officially recorded, at which time all positions settle according to the actual result.
Several factors could shift prices in this market before Jul 8, 2026. Team roster changes, recent performance trends, or injury announcements affecting either LYON or Team Secret Whales may alter expectations about match length. Pre-match analysis, expert predictions, or betting patterns from sportsbooks can also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, historical head-to-head data or format changes could prompt repricing. Real-time updates during the event itself—such as early map results or momentum shifts—will likely drive the most significant price movements as traders adjust their positions based on unfolding outcomes.