TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 15, 4:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Pavel Kotov in the Lyon, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Trungelliti' if Marco Trungelliti advances against Pavel Kotov. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Kotov' if Pavel Kotov advances against Marco Trungelliti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect decentralized trader sentiment and may differ from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds based on betting volume and risk management, while prediction markets price outcomes through continuous trading by informed participants. For the Trungelliti vs Kotov match, comparing Polymarket implied probabilities to major sportsbook spreads can reveal where consensus diverges. Prediction markets often react quickly to breaking news, player updates, or court conditions, potentially offering different value than fixed sportsbook lines.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the Trungelliti vs Kotov match is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader positions into implied probabilities for each outcome. Participants buy and sell shares representing match results, and the current price reflects the ratio of liquidity and open interest. As traders adjust their positions based on player form, head-to-head history, and court surface preference, the price updates in real time. The spread between bid and ask prices indicates market tightness and available liquidity for this tennis event.
The Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Pavel Kotov market resolves on Jun 15, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official match result as recorded by the tournament organizer and confirmed through standard sports data feeds. The outcome depends on which player wins the match under the rules of professional tennis competition in Lyon. Once the match concludes and the result is verified, the market settles automatically based on the confirmed winner.
Several factors could shift odds for the Trungelliti vs Kotov match before Jun 15, 2026. Recent tournament performance, injury reports, or withdrawal announcements involving either player would trigger immediate repricing. Court surface conditions, weather forecasts, and head-to-head matchup history may influence trader positioning. Betting patterns and large position changes on Polymarket can also move prices as new information reaches the market. Player rankings updates, coaching changes, or unexpected form swings in lead-up matches could all drive volatility in implied probabilities.