TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 15, 4:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Giustino and Daniel Rincon in the Lyon, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Giustino' if Lorenzo Giustino advances against Daniel Rincon. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Rincon' if Daniel Rincon advances against Lorenzo Giustino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, the Lyon: Lorenzo Giustino vs Daniel Rincon market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probability quotes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome—Giustino win, Rincon win, or other results—has a separate contract trading between 0 and 1, where the price reflects the market's collective assessment of likelihood. Traders buy or sell these contracts based on their conviction, and the price adjusts dynamically as volume flows in. The top outcome currently reflects market consensus, with pricing updated continuously throughout the trading window until match resolution.
The Lyon: Lorenzo Giustino vs Daniel Rincon market is scheduled to resolve on Jun 15, 2026. Resolution occurs after the match concludes and the official result is confirmed. The outcome is determined by the final score and winner as recorded by the tournament organizers and verified through standard sports data sources. Once the match is completed and results are finalized, the market settles according to the predetermined resolution criteria, paying out traders who correctly predicted the outcome.
Several factors could shift market pricing for Giustino versus Rincon before the match. Player injury announcements or withdrawal news would immediately reprrice the market. Recent form updates, head-to-head record analysis, or surface-specific performance data could trigger trader repositioning. Court conditions, weather forecasts, and lineup confirmations closer to match day often drive volatility. News about either player's fitness, mental state, or external circumstances may also influence odds. Large trades from sophisticated bettors can move prices sharply, signaling new information or conviction shifts in the prediction market.