TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 6:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various scoring thresholds for the second quarter of an upcoming football game between two teams. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring performance that bettors can wager on, focusing solely on the points accumulated during that specific quarter.
These markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the second quarter of the specified game. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from over 3.5 points to over 24.5 points. If the combined score exceeds the stated threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored during the second quarter count, and all markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. The markets are not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can sometimes diverge from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts regarding the Raiders-Saints matchup.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions for the 2nd quarter total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on their analysis of the game, potential scoring drives, and any relevant news. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the collective market believes is the fair probability of the final score falling within the specified range.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the second quarter of the Raiders-Saints game will be used to determine whether the market settles in the affirmative or negative. The official NFL game statistics will serve as the basis for verifying the total points scored during that period. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or account for any losses based on their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries to either the Raiders or the Saints would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift trader sentiment. In-game events, such as early scoring drives or defensive turnovers, will also have an immediate effect on the price. Even broader factors like public betting trends and expert analysis can contribute to fluctuations in this market.