TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the second half of an upcoming football game between the Las Vegas Raiders and the New Orleans Saints. It captures the momentum and performance of each team after halftime, including any overtime periods during the second half.
If New Orleans wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the LV Raiders vs NO Saints Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Las Vegas wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the LV Raiders vs NO Saints Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the LV Raiders vs NO Saints Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by analysts who consider various factors, while this market's pricing is driven by the collective predictions of individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as the prediction market can quickly incorporate new information and adjust its assessment of the likely outcome. However, as game time approaches, the odds on Kalshi tend to converge with those found at major sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the Raiders or the Saints will win the second half. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of that outcome. A price of 50 indicates a 50% perceived chance of occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of contracts available at different price points, provides insight into the level of conviction among traders. Increased volume at a specific price suggests strong agreement on the likelihood of that outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team that has the higher score at the end of the second half of the game will be declared the winner. The final result will be determined by the official game statistics, and the market will settle based on that information. Traders who correctly predicted the winning team will receive a payout based on the price of their contracts at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Raiders or the Saints would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also impact the market. Furthermore, any shifts in public sentiment, reflected in betting trends or expert analysis, can drive trading activity on Kalshi. Finally, in-game performance during the first half, such as a dominant start by one team, could lead to substantial price adjustments as traders react to the unfolding events.