TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 6:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various thresholds for total points scored by both teams combined in the first half of an upcoming football game. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of high or low-scoring halves.
These markets resolve based on the total points scored by both the LV Raiders and NO Saints during the first half of their game scheduled for September 27, 2026. Each market has a specific numerical threshold; if the combined first-half points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to Yes. Only points scored in the first half count, and all markets share this consistent rule across varying point thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 42.5 points. The outcome depends solely on the actual game score at halftime, with no additional conditions or adjustments.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price here will move accordingly, potentially offering a different value. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Raiders-Saints matchup. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of expected outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the Raiders-Saints first half total. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability. The current price indicates the cost to buy a contract that pays out if the first half total falls within a specific range. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on evolving information and opinions.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first half total for the Raiders-Saints game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, as reported by a trusted source. The market will determine whether the actual first half total is above or below the threshold defined by the contracts traded on Kalshi. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their contracts align with the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to game time. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Raiders or the Saints would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to either a high-scoring or low-scoring half, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also play a role. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself, driven by informed traders, can create momentum and shift the price.