TOTAL VOLUME:
$146.7b
24H VOL:
$162,970,420
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,781,800,361
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,740,912,349
501,518
Markets across
37,286
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,933
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the New England Patriots will win their professional football game against the Las Vegas Raiders. Currently, Kalshi gives New England a 92.0% probability of winning, while Las Vegas is at 9.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the LV Raiders vs NE Patriots Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, as reported by the game’s official results. Keep an eye on the game itself on October 11, 2026, as the final score will determine the market’s resolution.
If New England wins the LV Raiders vs NE Patriots Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Las Vegas wins the LV Raiders vs NE Patriots Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially differing from traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own insights. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. These differences can create arbitrage opportunities for informed traders. Generally, prediction markets are known for their accuracy in forecasting event outcomes, sometimes exceeding the predictive power of traditional polls or analysts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. The market depth, or the volume of orders at different price levels, provides insight into the strength of conviction behind various predictions. This continuous trading process ensures the market price remains responsive to new information.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Raiders-Patriots game, as officially recorded by sports authorities, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. This ensures a clear and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Oct 11, 2026. News regarding key player injuries on either the Raiders or the Patriots would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in coaching strategies or team performance during practice could also impact trader sentiment. Major weather forecasts for the game location could also play a role, particularly if conditions are expected to be unfavorable. Any significant public announcements or developments related to the teams or players are likely to move this market as traders react to the new information.