TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 6:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the third quarter of a specific NFL game between the Las Vegas Raiders and the Los Angeles Chargers. It captures the competitive performance of both teams during a single quarter of play, highlighting short-term scoring ability rather than the overall game outcome.
The market resolves based on which team scores the most points specifically during the third quarter of the designated NFL game. If the Los Angeles Chargers score more points in that quarter, the 'Los Angeles C wins 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If the Las Vegas Raiders score more points, the 'Las Vegas wins 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If both teams finish the quarter with equal points, neither team market wins, and instead the 'Tie 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward these outcomes, and all disclaimers regarding Kalshi’s non-affiliation with the league apply uniformly across the rules.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially in the lead-up to an event. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, but this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. While sportsbooks may adjust their lines based on betting action, the continuous trading on Kalshi can incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives, potentially leading to a more refined probability assessment for the Raiders-Chargers 3rd quarter winner.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, either the Raiders or the Chargers winning the 3rd quarter. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all traders.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team leading at the end of the 3rd quarter of the Raiders vs. Chargers game will be declared the winner of this market. The official NFL game results will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. Traders who held contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not.
Several factors could influence the price movements in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Raiders or the Chargers would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first and second quarters – such as a dominant offensive showing or a key turnover – could lead to substantial adjustments in the market price as traders react to the unfolding events and reassess the likelihood of each team winning the 3rd quarter.