TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 6:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both teams during the third quarter of a specific football game. Bettors can speculate on whether the combined scoring will exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of difficulty and potential payout.
These markets resolve based on the combined points scored by both the Las Vegas Raiders and Los Angeles Chargers during the third quarter of their game scheduled for September 20, 2026. Each market has a different threshold for the total points that must be exceeded for the 'Yes' outcome to occur. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the collective points scored by both teams in the third quarter must surpass the specified threshold—ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. Only points scored during the third quarter count, and all markets share this same secondary rule. The governing league is the National Football League, but Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with it. All trademarks and brand names remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. You may find that the implied probability from this market differs from sportsbook odds, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see discrepancies, as prediction markets can sometimes incorporate information faster and more efficiently than traditional betting venues. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different point totals for the 3rd quarter of the Raiders-Chargers game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more a particular outcome is bought, the higher its price rises, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market, driven by the collective intelligence of its participants.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score for the 3rd quarter of the Raiders-Chargers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored in the 3rd quarter will be compared to the different contract values offered in this market to determine which contracts settle at 100, and which settle at 0. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome for all traders. Keep an eye on the official NFL results as the game progresses.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Raiders or the Chargers would likely cause price adjustments. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing or running game, could also move the market. In-game performance during the first and second quarters, such as a dominant offensive showing by one team, will undoubtedly affect trader sentiment and contract prices. Unexpected coaching decisions or late-breaking news could also introduce volatility into this market.