TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 6:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance difference between the Las Angeles Chargers and the Las Vegas Raiders specifically within the third quarter of their scheduled football game. It focuses solely on how the points compare during that quarter, without considering the overall game result.
The event resolves based on the point differential in favor of either the LA Chargers or LV Raiders during the third quarter of their designated game on Sep 20, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of points by which one team must lead the other in that quarter to resolve as 'Yes'. Thresholds range from narrow margins like over 1.5 points to larger margins such as over 10.5 points, offering varying levels of difficulty for each outcome. Only points scored during the third quarter count, and the broader game context or final score is irrelevant. The markets are independent, with each having its own resolution criteria tied strictly to the third-quarter performance.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market's pricing is determined by the collective predictions of many traders. It's common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. These differences can sometimes present opportunities for arbitrage, but it’s important to remember that prediction markets are forward-looking and incorporate expectations about future events.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread in the third quarter of the Raiders-Chargers game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The winning spread will be determined by official game statistics, and payouts will be made to those who correctly predicted the outcome. It’s important to monitor the game closely as it progresses to understand how the final result will impact this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Raiders or the Chargers would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first and second quarters, particularly if one team establishes a substantial lead, could lead to substantial movement in this market. Public sentiment and late-breaking analysis from sports commentators could also contribute to price fluctuations.