TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 4:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various thresholds for the total points scored by both teams in the first quarter of an upcoming football game. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity that bettors can assess. The outcomes depend solely on the combined points achieved within the first quarter of play.
These markets resolve based on the total points scored by both the LV Raiders and LA Chargers during the first quarter of their game scheduled for September 20, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold, ranging from more than 3.5 points to more than 24.5 points. If the combined score exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored in the first quarter count toward these markets, and all markets are independent, each evaluating a distinct scoring benchmark. The governing league’s official scoring and game timing will determine the resolution, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when public opinion strongly favors one side. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights, but remember that both represent probabilities of an event occurring.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market's depth, indicated by the bid and ask sizes, shows how much volume is available at different price points, influencing how easily orders can be filled.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total points scored in the first quarter of the Raiders-Chargers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics and will determine whether the market settles on the over or under of the specified point total. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final price of their contracts at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Raiders or the Chargers would almost certainly cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also impact prices. Even significant shifts in public sentiment, driven by media coverage or expert analysis, can lead to changes in the market as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.