TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$85,014,378
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,695,592
394,774
Markets across
30,069
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,615
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 12:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Swiss Super League soccer match between Luzern and Basel. The result is determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Markets will resolve based on whether Luzern, Basel, or neither team (a tie) secures the victory within regulation time.
The event resolves based on the result of the Luzern vs Basel professional Swiss Super League soccer match originally scheduled for September 13, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Luzern wins, the 'Luzern' market resolves to Yes; if Basel wins, the 'Basel' market resolves to Yes; and if the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the platform's rules. The platform, Kalshi, is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their lines, while this market relies on individuals forecasting the most likely result. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges, as traders adjust their positions based on their own analysis and insights. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Luzern vs Basel match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, these prices will fluctuate, providing a real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The current market depth and order flow can be viewed directly on the Kalshi dashboard.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Luzern vs Basel match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders will be able to view the resolution details and claim any winnings through their Kalshi account following the official confirmation.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Sep 13, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Luzern or Basel would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also shift trader sentiment. Even external factors like weather conditions on match day or major news related to the teams’ management could introduce volatility. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact is crucial for traders looking to capitalize on market movements.