TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 3, 6:00 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of goals scored by Luxembourg and Italy is 3 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for June 3, 2026, 18:45 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 3, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Limitless, the Luxembourg–Italy 3+ goals outcome is priced as a binary contract reflecting the collective belief of active traders. Prices move continuously based on order flow, team news, injury updates, and historical match data. The platform's order book aggregates buy and sell interest, with the spread between bid and ask reflecting liquidity and uncertainty. As match day approaches, volatility and volume typically increase, allowing traders to fine-tune positions based on late-breaking tactical or roster information.
The market resolves at Jun 4, 2026. The outcome is determined by the final combined goal total scored by Luxembourg and Italy in their match. If the two teams score 3 or more goals in total, the yes outcome wins; if they score 2 or fewer, the no outcome wins. Resolution occurs after the match concludes and official statistics are confirmed, ensuring accuracy before payouts are distributed to winning traders.
Key catalysts include team lineups and injury announcements, which affect offensive and defensive capability. Tactical shifts—such as a coach prioritizing attack or defense—can significantly alter expected goal volume. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day all influence scoring likelihood. Pre-match media coverage, betting syndicate activity, and late-breaking roster changes can trigger sharp trader repositioning. Additionally, early match events like an early goal or red card will drive rapid repricing as the conditional probability of reaching 3+ goals shifts in real time.