Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 25, 2026, with identical treatment of postponements and cancellations across all three possible outcomes (Luton win, Barnsley win, draw).
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from the EFL (English Football League) as the governing body, or consensus of credible reporting if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Market resolves based on the final result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: Luton Town FC wins (YES on Luton market, NO on Barnsley and Draw markets), Barnsley FC wins (YES on Barnsley market, NO on Luton and Draw markets), or Draw (YES on Draw market, NO on Luton and Barnsley markets).
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Luton and Barnsley markets resolve NO, while the Draw market resolves YES.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no rescheduled make-up game, the Luton win and Barnsley win markets resolve NO, but the Draw market resolves YES per Polymarket rules.
Postponement and Rescheduling: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is actually played, regardless of how long the delay extends.
Resolution Source Hierarchy: Official EFL statistics are the primary source; if not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus becomes the resolution basis.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of the final match result by the EFL or, if delayed, upon consensus of credible reporting within 2 hours after match conclusion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.