TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 7:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Luqueno and Sportivo Ameliano, focusing on determining whether Luqueno wins, Sportivo Ameliano wins, or the game ends in a tie within regular time. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Any cancellation or significant rescheduling affects how the outcome is determined.
The event resolves based on the result of the Luqueno vs Sportivo Ameliano professional APF Division de Honor soccer match scheduled for September 6, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Luqueno win, Sportivo Ameliano win, or a tie. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if its specific condition is met—Luqueno winning resolves the 'Luqueno' market, Sportivo Ameliano winning resolves the 'Sportivo Ameliano' market, and a tie resolves the 'Tie' market. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The rules explicitly exclude extra time and penalty shootouts from determining the outcome, focusing only on the result at the end of regular time including stoppage minutes.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the way traders price in probabilities and potential outcomes. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on analyst opinions and historical data, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their beliefs, which can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing. Comparing the two can provide insight into where public sentiment or insider knowledge may be leaning differently.
This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match outcome, which is then matched against the market's defined outcomes to settle all positions. Timing depends on when official and reliable sources confirm the final score.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or shifting weather conditions could all influence this market as the match nears. News about team performance in prior games, disciplinary actions, or even broader league dynamics might shift trader sentiment. Any public updates from official team channels or trusted sports news outlets are likely to cause price adjustments on Kalshi as participants reassess their expectations.