TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 5:28 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between Luqueno and Club Guarani. Bettors can speculate on which team will win the game within regular time, or if the match will end in a tie. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the Luqueno vs Club Guarani professional APF Division de Honor soccer match scheduled for September 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Luqueno, a win for Club Guarani, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regular time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from consideration in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially uncovering information not fully captured by conventional methods. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, risk assessments, or the influence of public sentiment. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd disagrees with the experts, and potentially identify value opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants, offering insights into the perceived likelihood of each possible result in the Luqueno vs Club Guarani match.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Luqueno vs Club Guarani match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The platform will verify the outcome and distribute payouts accordingly, ensuring a transparent and reliable resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 25, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly shift expectations. Furthermore, updates on team form, tactical adjustments, or even public sentiment expressed through social media could impact trading activity. Major upsets in other matches involving these teams, or broader shifts in the competitive landscape, might also cause the market to react. Monitoring these signals can help traders anticipate potential price movements and adjust their positions accordingly.