TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 10:32 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Serie C soccer match between Lumezzane and Folgore Caratese. The result is determined by the final score after the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The event covers three possible outcomes: a win for either team or a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Lumezzane vs Folgore Caratese professional Serie C soccer match originally scheduled for September 26, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to the possible outcomes: Lumezzane win, Folgore Caratese win, or a tie. If the match concludes with a victory for either team within regular time, the respective market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the governing rules. Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from consideration for resolution.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially uncovering information not immediately factored into sportsbook prices. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, injuries, or even external factors influencing the match. It's common to see this market odds adjust as new information becomes available, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities than those found at sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Lumezzane vs Folgore Caratese match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Lumezzane vs Folgore Caratese match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome—a win for Lumezzane or a win for Folgore Caratese—is the official result. All trading will cease upon resolution, and winning contracts will be paid out accordingly.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Lumezzane or Folgore Caratese would likely impact trading activity. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant tactical changes announced by either team’s manager, could influence the perceived probabilities and cause the market to react. Public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the match could also play a role.