TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 29, 12:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This market covers the exact set score outcome of the professional tennis match between Luca Van Assche and Marton Fucsovics in the 2026 Wimbledon Men's Singles Round of 128 on June 29. The match result will be determined by the final set score achieved by either player.
The market resolves based on the exact set score of the Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovics professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Round of 128. If the match does not occur due to player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation before play begins, the market resolves to a fair price. If postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. If a player retires, markets that can be unconditionally settled based on completed play resolve accordingly; those that cannot are settled at Fair Market Price as determined by the Exchange.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show materially different probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, particularly if one venue has sharper information flow or if retail versus professional traders dominate different venues. Comparing both can reveal where consensus is strongest.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and asks for each exact-score outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the collective belief of all active traders at that moment. As new information surfaces—such as player injuries or recent match results—traders adjust their positions, moving prices up or down. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the odds remain responsive to real-world developments leading up to the match.
This market resolves around Jun 29, 2026, once the Van Assche versus Fucsovics match concludes and the final set score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact number of sets won by each player in their completed match. Resolution occurs after the match result is confirmed through official tournament records or major sports reporting outlets, ensuring accuracy before payouts are finalized.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before the match begins. Recent tournament performance by either player, injury announcements, or changes in seeding can trigger significant repricing. Court surface preference, head-to-head records, and weather forecasts closer to the event date also influence trader sentiment. Media coverage highlighting one player's form or momentum, as well as betting action from professional syndicates, can accelerate price movements. Any last-minute lineup changes or player statements may cause sharp moves in the final hours.