TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 3:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks who will win the first set in an upcoming tennis match between Luca Van Assche and Cameron Norrie at the 2026 US Open. The outcome depends solely on the result of the first set, regardless of the final match result. It reflects the competitive dynamics and performance of both players in the early stages of their encounter.
The market resolves based on which player wins the first set of the Luca Van Assche vs Cameron Norrie match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round of 128. If the match does not occur before any play due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation, it resolves to a fair price. Postponements or delays keep the market open until the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. If a player retires during the match, markets that can be settled based on completed play will resolve accordingly, while unresolved markets will settle at a fair market price determined by the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the price through buying and selling contracts that represent the possible outcomes. The current probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders, with liquidity indicated by the available volume. As new information emerges — such as player injuries or recent form — the market can adjust quickly based on trader activity and order flow.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match result, specifically who wins the first set, and will be finalized once the match concludes and the data appears in trusted sports news sources and official records.
Injuries, changes to the players' recent form, or weather delays could all shift this market as the event nears. Media commentary, betting trends, and practice updates may also influence trader sentiment. Any last-minute news affecting either player’s readiness or likelihood of dominance in the opening set can cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi before the match begins.