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OPEN INTEREST:
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406,019
Markets across
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Kalshi:
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Closed: Sep 19, 11:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will score more points specifically in the fourth quarter of a college football game between LSU and Ole Miss. It focuses solely on the final 15 minutes of regulation play, ignoring any overtime periods or the overall game result.
The market resolves based on which team scores more points during the fourth quarter of regulation play in the LSU vs Ole Miss college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. If Ole Miss scores more points in that quarter, the 'Ole Miss wins 4th Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If LSU scores more points, the 'LSU wins 4th Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score the same number of points, the 'Tie 4th Quarter' market resolves to Yes. Overtime periods are excluded from all determinations. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and information aggregation. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of perspectives as traders buy and sell contracts. Over time, prediction market prices tend to become more accurate than traditional polls or analysts’ predictions, as they are incentivized to reflect the true probability of an event occurring. It's common to see differences emerge as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief about which team will win the fourth quarter. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as traders react to news, injuries, and other factors influencing the game. The current top outcome, according to traders on Kalshi, is Ole Miss winning the 4th quarter.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result will be determined by which team is leading when the final whistle blows at the end of the fourth quarter of the LSU vs Ole Miss game. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will serve as the basis for determining the winning contract. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final score.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either LSU or Ole Miss would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact trading activity. In-game performance during the first three quarters, such as a dominant offensive showing or a surprising defensive strategy, will undoubtedly shift trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from reputable sports commentators could also move the market before Sep 20, 2026.