TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 8:34 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the point differential in the first quarter of a college football game between LSU and Ole Miss. Outcomes depend on which team scores more points and by how much during the initial 15 minutes of play.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first quarter of the LSU vs Ole Miss college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the first quarter by the exact margin or greater stated in the market (e.g., LSU by over 10.5 points). If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the actual first-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point thresholds defined in individual markets.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to impactful news than sportsbooks, as traders can instantly adjust their positions. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the expected result.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the actual first-quarter spread of the LSU vs Ole Miss football game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting the correct side of the spread will settle at 100, while those predicting the incorrect side will settle at 0. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either LSU or Ole Miss would likely cause significant movement, as would changes in weather forecasts that could impact the game's style. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can shift prices, especially if they signal a strong conviction from informed traders. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Sep 20, 2026.