TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 11:16 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Serie B soccer match between L.R. Vicenza and Stabia. The result is determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Markets will resolve based on whether L.R. Vicenza wins, Stabia wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event covers three possible outcomes for the L.R. Vicenza vs Stabia Serie B soccer match scheduled for September 12, 2026: a win for L.R. Vicenza, a win for Stabia, or a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Each market resolves to Yes if its designated outcome occurs. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The rules explicitly exclude extra time and penalty shootout results from consideration. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own insights. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of volume accumulates. Examining these differences can be insightful, as both sources attempt to forecast the same event, but through distinct mechanisms and with varying levels of public participation.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top market on Kalshi is for L.R. Vicenza to win, although the implied probability is subject to change based on trading activity and new information. The market’s efficiency is driven by the incentive for traders to accurately predict the event’s outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the L.R. Vicenza vs Stabia match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the process is complete, and payouts will be distributed accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Sep 12, 2026. News regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as a key player suspension or a change in venue, would likely cause significant price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could also drive price changes, as they act on their analysis of the available information and potential outcomes.