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LPGA: Portland Classic First Round Leader
kalshi
polymarket

LPGA: Portland Classic First Round Leader

Volume:
$1,869

Mariel Galdiano

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 14, 2026

Closed: Aug 13, 10:19 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Mariel Galdiano

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$574
N/A
N/A
$541
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Mariel Galdiano

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hannah Green

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$113
N/A
N/A
$82
Settled
No
polymarket

Hannah Green

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jeeno Thitikul

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$107
N/A
N/A
$75
Settled
No
kalshi

Mao Saigo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$85
N/A
N/A
$42
Settled
No
polymarket

Mao Saigo

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Lauren Walsh

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$76
N/A
N/A
$52
Settled
No
polymarket

Lauren Walsh

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Hye Jin Choi

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$59
N/A
N/A
$51
Settled
No
polymarket

Hye-Jin Choi

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Manon De Roey

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$58
N/A
N/A
$42
Settled
No
polymarket

Manon de Roey

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Carolina Melgrati

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$42
N/A
N/A
$36
Settled
No
polymarket

Carolina Melgrati

View
0%
79%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Akie Iwai

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
$34
Settled
No
polymarket

Akie Iwai

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Chisato Iwai

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
$34
Settled
No
polymarket

Chisato Iwai

View
0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Soo Bin Joo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
$34
Settled
No
kalshi

Bianca Pagdanganan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
$34
Settled
No
polymarket

Bianca Pagdanganan

View
0%
64%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Benedetta Moresco

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
$31
Settled
No
polymarket

Benedetta Moresco

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Suvichaya Vinijchaitham

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
$31
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 270

Description

This group of markets tracks which golfer will lead the first round of the 2026 The Standard Portland Classic on the LPGA tour. Markets resolve based on the player with the lowest cumulative score to par after Round 1.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use identical logic for determining the first round leader with consistent tiebreaker procedures and cancellation rules.Primary resolution logic: Official results published by the LPGA

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolve to the player with the lowest cumulative score to par after Round 1
  • Tiebreakers: back 9 score, eagles, birdies, bogeys, alphabetical last name order
  • If tournament is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, resolve to "Other"

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tournament Cancellation: If the event is canceled or postponed after August 30, 2026, all markets resolve to "Other"
  • Persistent Tie: After applying all standard tiebreakers, if still tied, resolve in favor of player whose last name comes first alphabetically
Timing: Markets resolve immediately after official declaration of the first round leader by the LPGA, typically within 24 hours of round completionOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Portland Classic with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Portland Classic is cancelled, postponed after August 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.

Kalshi

Each market corresponds to an individual golfer, resolving to 'Yes' if that specific player is the sole leader at the end of Round 1. If multiple players are tied for the lead, 'Yes' positions pay $1 divided by the number of tied participants (rounded down to the nearest cent), while 'No' positions pay the complement to 1 of that payout. The rules clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the PGA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Portland Classic first round leader market aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the likelihood of each golfer taking the lead after the opening round. It displays consensus probabilities, volume of $1,869, and 24-hour volume of $1,620 across venues like Polymarket and Kalshi. This gives a live snapshot of market sentiment as the tournament begins, letting users compare expectations against evolving on-course performance.