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LPGA: NW Arkansas Championship First Round Leader
polymarket

Who will lead the LPGA NW Arkansas Championship Round 1?

Volume:
$0

A-Lim Kim

 - Polymarket

A-Lim Kim - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 26, 2026

Closed: Sep 25, 8:27 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
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Result
polymarket

A-Lim Kim

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
polymarket

Adela Cernousek

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
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N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
polymarket

Akie Iwai

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0%
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N/A
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Settled
No
polymarket

Alexa Pano

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
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N/A
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No
polymarket

Amanda Doherty

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0%
80%
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No
polymarket

Amy Yang

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0%
99%
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No
polymarket

Ana Belac

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0%
80%
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No
polymarket

Andrea Lee

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No
polymarket

Angel Yin

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No
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Anne Chen

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0%
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No
polymarket

Ashleigh Buhai

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0%
80%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
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N/A
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Settled
No
polymarket

Auston Kim

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0%
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No
polymarket

Benedetta Moresco

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0%
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No
polymarket

Briana Chacon

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0%
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No
polymarket

Brianna Do

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0%
80%
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N/A
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Settled
No
polymarket

Brooke Matthews

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0%
80%
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Settled
No
polymarket

Caley McGinty

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0%
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No
polymarket

Camille Boyd

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0%
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No
polymarket

Carla Tejedo

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0%
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Settled
No
polymarket

Carlota Ciganda

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0%
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N/A
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Settled
No
polymarket

Carolina Lopez-Chacarra

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0%
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N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
polymarket

Carolina Melgrati

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0%
80%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
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N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
polymarket

Cassie Porter

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0%
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N/A
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N/A
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Settled
No
polymarket

Celine Borge

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0%
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N/A
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Settled
No
polymarket

Celine Boutier

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0%
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N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 121

Description

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 NW Arkansas Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 NW Arkansas Championship is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 NW Arkansas Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 NW Arkansas Championship is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.

Frequently asked questions

Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a golfer has a better or worse chance than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market, as information and opinions evolve. Analyzing these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed bettors.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether a particular golfer will be the first-round leader. As more shares are bought for a specific golfer, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, meaning that if many traders believe a golfer is likely to lead, the price of their shares will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.

This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the golfer who holds the lowest score after the first round of the NW Arkansas Championship will be declared the winner of this market. The official leaderboard from the LPGA tour will serve as the primary source for determining the first-round leader. Any ties will be handled according to the platform's standard tie-breaking procedures, which are publicly available.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding golfer injuries, changes in weather conditions at the course, or late withdrawals from the tournament would likely cause price fluctuations. Also, early performance in practice rounds or initial betting activity in sportsbooks could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about course conditions or a golfer’s playing strategy could also move the market. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact is key to understanding the dynamics of this market.