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LPGA: FM Championship First Round Leader
kalshi
polymarket

LPGA: FM Championship First Round Leader

Volume:
$25,920

Sei Young Kim

 - Kalshi

Sei Young Kim - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 28, 2026

Closed: Aug 27, 7:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Sei Young Kim

View
100%
83%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,640
N/A
N/A
$3,080
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Somi Lee

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,366
N/A
N/A
$4,366
Settled
No
kalshi

Hae-Ran Ryu

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,264
N/A
N/A
$4,249
Settled
No
polymarket

Hae-Ran Ryu

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Miyu Yamashita

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,789
N/A
N/A
$3,589
Settled
No
polymarket

Miyu Yamashita

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Lottie Woad

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,442
N/A
N/A
$1,242
Settled
No
polymarket

Lottie Woad

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Gaby Lopez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,043
N/A
N/A
$1,043
Settled
No
polymarket

Gaby Lopez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Hyo Joo Kim

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,042
N/A
N/A
$1,042
Settled
No
polymarket

Hyo-Joo Kim

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Yuri Yoshida

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,006
N/A
N/A
$1,006
Settled
No
kalshi

Chisato Iwai

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$598
N/A
N/A
$515
Settled
No
polymarket

Chisato Iwai

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Robyn Choi

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$360
N/A
N/A
$360
Settled
No
kalshi

Ina Yoon

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$289
N/A
N/A
$289
Settled
No
polymarket

Ina Yoon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ana Belac

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$229
N/A
N/A
$229
Settled
No
polymarket

Ana Belac

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Frida Kinhult

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$229
N/A
N/A
$229
Settled
No
polymarket

Frida Kinhult

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Chiara Tamburlini

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$229
N/A
N/A
$229
Settled
No
polymarket

Chiara Tamburlini

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Nelly Korda

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$226
N/A
N/A
$226
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 265

Description

This group of markets tracks which golfer will lead after the first round of the 2026 FM Championship. Each market corresponds to a specific golfer, with resolution determined by their performance in Round 1.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical core logic for determining the first-round leader, with consistent tiebreaker sequences and cancellation/postponement handling.Primary resolution logic: Official results published by the LPGA or event organizer

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves to Yes if the named golfer is the leader after Round 1
  • Tiebreakers: back-9 score, eagles, birdies, bogeys, last name alphabetical order
  • If tournament is canceled or postponed after September 13, 2026, or no leader is declared by then, resolve Other (Polymarket) or No (Kalshi)

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tournament Cancellation: If the 2026 FM Championship is canceled or postponed after September 13, 2026, all markets resolve to Other on Polymarket and No on Kalshi
  • Unresolved Leader: If an official Round 1 leader has not been declared by September 13, 2026, markets resolve to Other (Polymarket) or No (Kalshi)
  • Tiebreaker Sequence: In the event of a tie, the tiebreaker sequence is: lowest back-9 score, most eagles, most birdies, fewest bogeys, alphabetical order of last names
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately after the official declaration of the Round 1 leader, or by September 13, 2026 if no leader is declaredOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 FM Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FM Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 13, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.

Kalshi

If Na Rin An is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pajaree Anannarukarn is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aditi Ashok is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Saki Baba is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jenny Bae is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Laetitia Beck is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ana Belac is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Celine Borge is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Celine Boutier is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Helen Briem is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nicole Broch Estrup is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ashleigh Buhai is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Briana Chacon is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hye Jin Choi is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Robyn Choi is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chella Choi is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Carlota Ciganda is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hailee Cooper is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Allisen Corpuz is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lauren Coughlin is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Olivia Cowan is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniela Darquea is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Karis Davidson is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Manon De Roey is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Perrine Delacour is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brianna Do is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Amanda Doherty is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gemma Dryburgh is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lindy Duncan is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jodi Ewart Shadoff is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Laney Frye is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ayaka Furue is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Isi Gabsa is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sofia Garcia is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Linn Grant is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hannah Green is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Melanie Green is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nataliya Guseva is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Georgia Hall is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Erika Hara is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nasa Hataoka is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brooke Henderson is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Esther Henseleit is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Wei-Ling Hsu is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Charley Hull is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If You Min Hwang is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jin Hee Im is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Akie Iwai is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chisato Iwai is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jiwon Jeon is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Zoe Jiamanukoonkit is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Soo Bin Joo is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Moriya Jutanugarn is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ariya Jutanugarn is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If MinJi Kang is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Minami Katsu is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gurleen Kaur is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Megan Khang is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hyo Joo Kim is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Grace Kim is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If A Lim Kim is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Kim is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gina Kim is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sei Young Kim is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Frida Kinhult is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lydia Ko is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jin Young Ko is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nanna Koerstz Madsen is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nelly Korda is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jennifer Kupcho is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Stephanie Kyriacou is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Maude-Aimee Leblanc is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mi Hyang Lee is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dongeun Lee is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Andrea Lee is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Minjee Lee is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Somi Lee is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jeong Eun Lee5 is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lucy Li is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ingrid Lindblad is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yu Liu is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mary Liu is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yan Liu is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gaby Lopez is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Julia Lopez Ramirez is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Katie Lu is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Polly Mack is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Paula Martin Sampedro is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brooke Matthews is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Carolina Melgrati is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Morgane Metraux is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Benedetta Moresco is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nastasia Nadaud is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yuna Nishimura is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yealimi Noh is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Anna Nordqvist is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ryann O'Toole is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Natasha Andrea Oon is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alexa Pano is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kum Kang Park is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Emily Pedersen is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pornanong Phatlum is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cassie Porter is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jessica Porvasnik is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Paula Reto is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mimi Rhodes is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kiara Romero is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pauline Roussin is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gabriela Ruffels is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hae-Ran Ryu is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mao Saigo is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lizette Salas is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yuka Saso is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sophia Schubert is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hinako Shibuno is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jenny Shin is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Riley Smyth is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Linnea Strom is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rio Takeda is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chiara Tamburlini is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Patty Tavatanakit is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Carla Tejedo is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jeeno Thitikul is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lexi Thompson is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Suvichaya Vinijchaitham is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lilia Vu is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chanettee Wannasaen is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dewi Weber is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yana Wilson is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lottie Woad is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Miyu Yamashita is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jing Yan is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Amy Yang is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ruoning Yin is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Angel Yin is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ina Yoon is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yuri Yoshida is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arpichaya Yubol is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Weiwei Zhang is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rose Zhang is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, the LPGA FM Championship first round leader market dashboard tracks real-time probabilities and volume across platforms. It shows how traders on each venue price the chances of different golfers taking the lead after the opening round. The view aggregates activity so you can see consensus or divergence in expectations, with total volume at $25,920 and 24-hour volume at $24,542. This gives a live snapshot of market sentiment for the first round leader.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary due to differences in user base, liquidity, and trading mechanics. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might have deeper liquidity around certain players, pushing its implied chances higher. Activity from high-volume traders or regional betting patterns can also skew prices. Additionally, each venue may update its odds on different timelines after newsworthy events, such as injuries or course conditions, leading to temporary mismatches between Polymarket and Kalshi.

Key signals that could shift probabilities in this market include last-minute player withdrawals, weather delays affecting tee times, and practice-round performances by top contenders. News about injuries or equipment issues for favorites can also cause rapid re-pricing. Additionally, early movement on the first day — such as a few birdies from surprise players — may shift trader sentiment before the round concludes, especially if live scoring shows a contender pulling ahead.