TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 13, 4:03 AM EST
Kalshi
A pop album is monitored for its streaming numbers across all platforms during a specific week in June.
If Lover has above 49,686,007 Worldwide Streams during the June 05 - June 11, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, the Lover streams up this week event is priced as a binary or multi-outcome contract reflecting the probability that the specified outcome occurs. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the price directly representing the implied probability. As new information surfaces—such as official announcements, social media hints, or schedule updates—Kalshi traders adjust their positions, moving the contract price up or down. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all active traders on Kalshi regarding the likelihood of a Lover stream happening within the defined week.
The Lover streams up this week market resolves on Jun 15, 2026. At that point, the outcome is determined based on whether the specified event occurred during the designated week. Resolution hinges on verifiable evidence of whether a Lover stream took place according to the market's defined criteria. Once the resolution date passes, Kalshi settles all positions based on the final outcome, and traders receive payouts proportional to their holdings. Until resolution, the market remains open for trading, allowing participants to adjust their positions as new information becomes available.
Several catalysts could shift odds for a Lover stream this week. Official announcements from the artist or management regarding streaming plans would have immediate impact. Social media posts, interviews, or hints about upcoming content could increase bullish sentiment. Tour dates, album release schedules, or promotional campaigns might signal higher likelihood. Conversely, conflicting commitments, delays, or public statements ruling out a stream would push odds lower. Industry news, competitor activity, or platform partnerships could also influence trader expectations. Real-time monitoring of entertainment news and the artist's official channels will help you anticipate market-moving developments before they're fully priced in.