TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
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$141,541,542
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 12, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether specific contestants will be eliminated from Love Island USA Season 8 before the June 13, 2026 resolution deadline. Beatriz elimination is priced at 95.0%, while Corbin elimination stands at 3.0%. Resolution is determined by official elimination announcements from Love Island USA: Season 8. Watch for elimination episodes and official cast announcements leading up to the June 13, 2026 end of the betting period to see how contestant fates unfold.
A contestant is considered eliminated if they are voted off, evicted, knocked out, removed from further contention, voluntarily withdraw, face disqualification, or are removed by producers. The elimination must be officially declared through the program broadcast, official website, verified social media accounts, or press releases. Multiple simultaneous eliminations count as separate eliminations. If a contestant is initially eliminated but later returns to the show, the initial elimination still counts. However, eliminations that are immediately reversed within the same episode do not count. Temporary medical holds, suspensions, or finishing as runner-up in the finale are not considered eliminations. If the season is canceled without any eliminations being declared, all markets resolve to No.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, Love Island USA Week 2: Elimination outcomes are priced as binary or multiple-choice contracts reflecting different elimination scenarios. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, where the price represents the market's implied probability of that outcome occurring. As new episodes air, viewer votes are tallied, or elimination ceremonies approach, prices adjust based on incoming information and order flow. The most heavily traded elimination scenarios typically show tighter bid-ask spreads and deeper liquidity on the platform.
The Love Island USA Week 2: Elimination market resolves on Jun 13, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official elimination results broadcast during the Week 2 elimination ceremony on Love Island USA. The market will settle based on which islanders are actually eliminated by the show's producers and voting process, as confirmed by the network broadcast. Traders should monitor the official air date and time to know when final resolution will occur.
Several factors could shift odds for Love Island USA Week 2: Elimination before resolution. New episode airings showing islander drama, romance developments, or social media backlash can influence viewer voting intentions and trader sentiment. Surprise twists, unexpected couple formations, or producer-led recoupling events may alter elimination vulnerability. Social media trends, fan voting patterns, and contestant popularity shifts tracked across platforms can drive rapid price movements. Additionally, any official show announcements or spoilers circulating online may prompt traders to adjust positions ahead of the broadcast elimination ceremony.