TOTAL VOLUME:

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24H VOL:

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405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Love Island USA S8: Top 3 Couples
kalshi

Love Island USA S8: Top 3 Couples

Volume:
$2,029,119

Melanie and Sincere

 - Kalshi

Melanie and Sincere - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 13, 2026

Closed: Jul 13, 9:40 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Melanie and Sincere

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$322,105
N/A
N/A
$158,207
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trinity and Bryce

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$141,266
N/A
N/A
$69,674
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Aniya and Carl

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$139,776
N/A
N/A
$73,139
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kayda and Zach

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$615,048
N/A
N/A
$467,129
Settled
No
kalshi

Tierra and KC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$414,166
N/A
N/A
$309,876
Settled
No
kalshi

Trinity and Sean

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$61,860
N/A
N/A
$10,170
Settled
No
kalshi

Kenzie and Dylan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$60,047
N/A
N/A
$41,851
Settled
No
kalshi

Aniya and KC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$54,974
N/A
N/A
$12,582
Settled
No
kalshi

Beatriz and Gabriel

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,391
N/A
N/A
$4,796
Settled
No
kalshi

Melanie and Caleb

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,155
N/A
N/A
$8,892
Settled
No
kalshi

Kenzie and Sean

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,049
N/A
N/A
$3,237
Settled
No
kalshi

Beatriz and Zach

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,391
N/A
N/A
$2,271
Settled
No
kalshi

Trinity and Zach

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,792
N/A
N/A
$7,375
Settled
No
kalshi

Alannah and Caleb

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,777
N/A
N/A
$7,771
Settled
No
kalshi

Kayda and Sincere

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,851
N/A
N/A
$2,076
Settled
No
kalshi

Alannah and KC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,206
N/A
N/A
$6,206
Settled
No
kalshi

Trinity and KC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,197
N/A
N/A
$3,511
Settled
No
kalshi

Aniya and Sean

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,903
N/A
N/A
$2,887
Settled
No
kalshi

Beatriz and Sean

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,621
N/A
N/A
$1,193
Settled
No
kalshi

Trinity and Sincere

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,408
N/A
N/A
$3,908
Settled
No
kalshi

Beatriz and Bryce

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,312
N/A
N/A
$1,762
Settled
No
kalshi

Aniya and Caleb

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,259
N/A
N/A
$4,335
Settled
No
kalshi

Beatriz and Sincere

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,155
N/A
N/A
$2,031
Settled
No
kalshi

Alannah and Bryce

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,120
N/A
N/A
$5,120
Settled
No
kalshi

Beatriz and KC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,044
N/A
N/A
$3,918
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 89

Intro

This market tracks whether Melanie and Sincere will finish among the final three couples remaining in the villa during Love Island USA Season 8. On Kalshi, the probability of this outcome is 99.0%. Resolution is determined by official Love Island USA Season 8 results. Watch for the season finale on August 31, 2026, when the final three couples will be revealed and the market will settle.

Kalshi

If Aniya and Bryce finish Top 3 in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aniya and Gabriel finish Top 3 in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aniya and KC finish Top 3 in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aniya and Sean finish Top 3 in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aniya and Sincere finish Top 3 in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aniya and Zach finish Top 3 in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Beatriz and Bryce finish Top 3 in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Beatriz and Gabriel finish Top 3 in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Beatriz and KC finish Top 3 in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Beatriz and Sean finish Top 3 in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Beatriz and Sincere finish Top 3 in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Beatriz and Zach finish Top 3 in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kenzie and Bryce finish Top 3 in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kenzie and Gabriel finish Top 3 in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kenzie and KC finish Top 3 in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kenzie and Sean finish Top 3 in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kenzie and Sincere finish Top 3 in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kenzie and Zach finish Top 3 in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Melanie and Bryce finish Top 3 in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Melanie and Gabriel finish Top 3 in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Melanie and KC finish Top 3 in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Melanie and Sean finish Top 3 in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Melanie and Sincere finish Top 3 in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Melanie and Zach finish Top 3 in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trinity and Bryce finish Top 3 in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trinity and Gabriel finish Top 3 in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trinity and KC finish Top 3 in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trinity and Sean finish Top 3 in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trinity and Sincere finish Top 3 in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trinity and Zach finish Top 3 in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vasana and Bryce finish Top 3 in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vasana and Gabriel finish Top 3 in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vasana and KC finish Top 3 in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vasana and Sean finish Top 3 in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vasana and Sincere finish Top 3 in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vasana and Zach finish Top 3 in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts and fan polls due to real-money incentives that reward accuracy. While entertainment analysts and social media polls may reflect fan sentiment or editorial bias, market prices aggregate the collective judgment of traders with financial stakes in outcomes. For Love Island USA Season 8 top three couples, market odds typically incorporate more recent voting data and contestant dynamics than static analyst predictions, making them a dynamic alternative to traditional forecasting methods.

The Love Island USA Season 8: Top 3 Couples market resolves on Aug 31, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official final rankings announced at the end of the season, which identify which three couples remain and finish in the top positions. The market settles based on the broadcast outcome and official Love Island USA announcements, ensuring clarity on which couples qualify as top three finalists.

Key catalysts include weekly elimination ceremonies, where couples at risk of leaving shift market odds significantly. Viewer voting patterns, social media sentiment, and contestant drama or romance developments influence trader expectations. Surprise eliminations, recoupling events, and bombshell arrivals can rapidly reshape odds for specific couples. Late-season twists, public voting reveals, and final coupling ceremonies typically drive the largest price movements as the top three positions become clearer and the field narrows toward the finale.