TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 12, 10:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks which couple will finish in third place during Love Island USA Season 8. Melanie and Sincere are currently favored to claim the third-place position at 89.0%, according to Kalshi's assessment. The market will resolve based on official Love Island USA Season 8 results as the competition concludes. Watch for the final elimination episodes leading up to the August 31, 2026 resolution date, when the third-place couple will be definitively determined and the market will settle.
If Aniya and Bryce finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aniya and Gabriel finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aniya and KC finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aniya and Sean finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aniya and Sincere finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aniya and Zach finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Beatriz and Bryce finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Beatriz and Gabriel finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Beatriz and KC finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Beatriz and Sean finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Beatriz and Sincere finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Beatriz and Zach finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kenzie and Bryce finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kenzie and Gabriel finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kenzie and KC finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kenzie and Sean finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kenzie and Sincere finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kenzie and Zach finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Melanie and Bryce finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Melanie and Gabriel finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Melanie and KC finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Melanie and Sean finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Melanie and Sincere finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Melanie and Zach finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trinity and Bryce finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trinity and Gabriel finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trinity and KC finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trinity and Sean finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trinity and Sincere finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trinity and Zach finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vasana and Bryce finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vasana and Gabriel finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vasana and KC finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vasana and Sean finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vasana and Sincere finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vasana and Zach finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kayda and Bryce finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kayda and Gabriel finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kayda and KC finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kayda and Sean finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kayda and Sincere finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kayda and Zach finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aniya and Corbin finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Beatriz and Corbin finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kenzie and Corbin finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Melanie and Corbin finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trinity and Corbin finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kayda and Corbin finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aniya and Caleb finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Beatriz and Caleb finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kenzie and Caleb finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Melanie and Caleb finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trinity and Caleb finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kayda and Caleb finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jen and Bryce finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jen and Gabriel finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jen and KC finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jen and Sincere finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jen and Zach finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jen and Corbin finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jen and Caleb finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sol and Bryce finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sol and Gabriel finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sol and KC finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sol and Sincere finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sol and Zach finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sol and Corbin finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes.
Third-place odds will shift based on eliminations, recouplings, and which couples remain in the villa as the season progresses. Strong on-screen chemistry, viewer voting patterns, and social media sentiment can drive trader conviction higher or lower. Surprise eliminations or unexpected couple formations often trigger sharp price moves. As the finale approaches, final four and final three announcements become critical catalysts. Injury, illness, or unexpected departures could also reshape third-place prospects. Each new episode provides fresh information that traders incorporate into their pricing immediately.