TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Love Island USA S8: 3rd place couple
kalshi

Love Island USA S8: 3rd place couple

Volume:
$1,666,542

Melanie and Sincere

 - Kalshi

Melanie and Sincere - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 13, 2026

Closed: Jul 12, 10:40 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Melanie and Sincere

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$450,451
N/A
N/A
$355,244
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kayda and Zach

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$576,862
N/A
N/A
$435,143
Settled
No
kalshi

Aniya and Carl

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$395,406
N/A
N/A
$299,035
Settled
No
kalshi

Tierra and KC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$94,079
N/A
N/A
$53,106
Settled
No
kalshi

Parmida and Corbin

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$45,153
N/A
N/A
$27,253
Settled
No
kalshi

Trinity and Bryce

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$34,632
N/A
N/A
$32,152
Settled
No
kalshi

Kenzie and Dylan

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,284
N/A
N/A
$17,520
Settled
No
kalshi

Jaiden and Caleb

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,900
N/A
N/A
$3,716
Settled
No
kalshi

Melanie and Caleb

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,011
N/A
N/A
$4,964
Settled
No
kalshi

Kenzie and Caleb

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,719
N/A
N/A
$2,163
Settled
No
kalshi

Aniya and KC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,478
N/A
N/A
$1,574
Settled
No
kalshi

Kayda and Bryce

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,440
N/A
N/A
$2,440
Settled
No
kalshi

Trinity and KC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,432
N/A
N/A
$2,432
Settled
No
kalshi

Jen and Dylan

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,952
N/A
N/A
$1,697
Settled
No
kalshi

Jen and Gal

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,837
N/A
N/A
$1,668
Settled
No
kalshi

Melanie and Corey

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,702
N/A
N/A
$1,498
Settled
No
kalshi

Kenzie and Corbin

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,616
N/A
N/A
$1,274
Settled
No
kalshi

Sol and Sincere

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,167
N/A
N/A
$1,155
Settled
No
kalshi

Alannah and Bryce

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,016
N/A
N/A
$1,016
Settled
No
kalshi

Alannah and Caleb

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$935
N/A
N/A
$935
Settled
No
kalshi

Sol and Zach

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$662
N/A
N/A
$321
Settled
No
kalshi

Kayda and Chay

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$643
N/A
N/A
$643
Settled
No
kalshi

Kayda and Caleb

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$575
N/A
N/A
$574
Settled
No
kalshi

Sol and KC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$566
N/A
N/A
$547
Settled
No
kalshi

Jen and Gabriel

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$553
N/A
N/A
$545
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 178

Intro

This market on Kalshi tracks which couple will finish in third place during Love Island USA Season 8. Melanie and Sincere are currently favored to claim the third-place position at 89.0%, according to Kalshi's assessment. The market will resolve based on official Love Island USA Season 8 results as the competition concludes. Watch for the final elimination episodes leading up to the August 31, 2026 resolution date, when the third-place couple will be definitively determined and the market will settle.

Kalshi

If Aniya and Bryce finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aniya and Gabriel finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aniya and KC finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aniya and Sean finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aniya and Sincere finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aniya and Zach finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Beatriz and Bryce finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Beatriz and Gabriel finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Beatriz and KC finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Beatriz and Sean finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Beatriz and Sincere finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Beatriz and Zach finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kenzie and Bryce finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kenzie and Gabriel finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kenzie and KC finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kenzie and Sean finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kenzie and Sincere finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kenzie and Zach finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Melanie and Bryce finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Melanie and Gabriel finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Melanie and KC finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Melanie and Sean finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Melanie and Sincere finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Melanie and Zach finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trinity and Bryce finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trinity and Gabriel finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trinity and KC finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trinity and Sean finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trinity and Sincere finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trinity and Zach finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vasana and Bryce finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vasana and Gabriel finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vasana and KC finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vasana and Sean finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vasana and Sincere finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vasana and Zach finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kayda and Bryce finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kayda and Gabriel finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kayda and KC finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kayda and Sean finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kayda and Sincere finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kayda and Zach finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aniya and Corbin finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Beatriz and Corbin finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kenzie and Corbin finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Melanie and Corbin finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trinity and Corbin finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kayda and Corbin finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aniya and Caleb finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Beatriz and Caleb finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kenzie and Caleb finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Melanie and Caleb finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trinity and Caleb finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kayda and Caleb finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jen and Bryce finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jen and Gabriel finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jen and KC finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jen and Sincere finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jen and Zach finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jen and Corbin finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jen and Caleb finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sol and Bryce finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sol and Gabriel finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sol and KC finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sol and Sincere finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sol and Zach finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sol and Corbin finish 3rd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The Love Island USA Season 8: 3rd Place Couple market resolves on Aug 31, 2026, after the season finale airs and third-place finishers are officially announced. Resolution is determined by the couple that finishes in exactly third place according to the show's final rankings and official announcements. Markets typically settle within hours of the finale broadcast once results are confirmed. Traders should monitor official Love Island USA communications and network announcements to stay informed on timing and final placements.

Third-place odds will shift based on eliminations, recouplings, and which couples remain in the villa as the season progresses. Strong on-screen chemistry, viewer voting patterns, and social media sentiment can drive trader conviction higher or lower. Surprise eliminations or unexpected couple formations often trigger sharp price moves. As the finale approaches, final four and final three announcements become critical catalysts. Injury, illness, or unexpected departures could also reshape third-place prospects. Each new episode provides fresh information that traders incorporate into their pricing immediately.