TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 12, 10:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which couple will finish as runners-up in Love Island USA Season 8. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—that Melanie and KC finish in second place—stands at 90.0%. The market resolves based on the official final rankings announced at the conclusion of Love Island USA Season 8. Watch for the season finale on August 31, 2026, when the final couple rankings will be revealed and determine the resolution outcome.
If Aniya and Bryce finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aniya and Gabriel finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aniya and KC finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aniya and Sean finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aniya and Sincere finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aniya and Zach finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Beatriz and Bryce finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Beatriz and Gabriel finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Beatriz and KC finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Beatriz and Sean finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Beatriz and Sincere finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Beatriz and Zach finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kenzie and Bryce finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kenzie and Gabriel finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kenzie and KC finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kenzie and Sean finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kenzie and Sincere finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kenzie and Zach finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Melanie and Bryce finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Melanie and Gabriel finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Melanie and KC finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Melanie and Sean finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Melanie and Sincere finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Melanie and Zach finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trinity and Bryce finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trinity and Gabriel finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trinity and KC finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trinity and Sean finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trinity and Sincere finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trinity and Zach finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vasana and Bryce finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vasana and Gabriel finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vasana and KC finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vasana and Sean finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vasana and Sincere finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vasana and Zach finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kayda and Bryce finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kayda and Gabriel finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kayda and KC finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kayda and Sean finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kayda and Sincere finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kayda and Zach finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aniya and Corbin finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Beatriz and Corbin finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kenzie and Corbin finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Melanie and Corbin finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trinity and Corbin finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kayda and Corbin finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aniya and Caleb finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Beatriz and Caleb finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kenzie and Caleb finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Melanie and Caleb finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trinity and Caleb finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kayda and Caleb finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jen and Bryce finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jen and Gabriel finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jen and KC finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jen and Sincere finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jen and Zach finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jen and Corbin finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jen and Caleb finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sol and Bryce finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sol and Gabriel finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sol and KC finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sol and Sincere finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sol and Zach finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sol and Corbin finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sol and Caleb finish 2nd in Love Island USA Season 8, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Love Island USA Season 8: 2nd Place Couple is priced on Kalshi as binary contracts for each couple, where traders buy or sell shares reflecting their belief in that couple finishing second. Prices range from 0 to 100 cents, with the implied probability derived directly from the contract price. As viewer votes, eliminations, and coupling dynamics unfold, prices adjust in real time, allowing traders to enter or exit positions based on evolving show developments and couple chemistry.
The Love Island USA Season 8: 2nd Place Couple market resolves on Aug 31, 2026, following the finale broadcast. Resolution is determined by which couple finishes in second place when the final vote is announced on air. Only the couple that the show officially declares as runners-up will trigger a winning resolution for that outcome. All other couples are marked as losers at that time.
Key catalysts include surprise eliminations that remove strong contenders, unexpected recouplings that weaken or strengthen couple bonds, and viewer voting patterns revealed during episodes. Bombshell arrivals and dramatic exits can rapidly shift market odds as couples' viability changes. Social media sentiment, fan voting trends, and on-screen chemistry moments all influence trader confidence in which couples will reach the finale and finish second. Major drama or reconciliations in the villa can trigger sharp repricing within hours of airing.