TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 27, 6:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market predicts whether a specific pairing of contestants will finish in the top three positions of Love Island UK Season 13. The event tracks the final rankings of couples who remain together through the competition until the end.
If Mica and Aidan finish Top 3 in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mica and Ope finish Top 3 in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mica and Sam finish Top 3 in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mica and Sean finish Top 3 in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mica and Samraj finish Top 3 in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mica and Lorenzo finish Top 3 in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes. If Angelista and Aidan finish Top 3 in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes. If Angelista and Ope finish Top 3 in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes. If Angelista and Sam finish Top 3 in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes. If Angelista and Sean finish Top 3 in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes. If Angelista and Samraj finish Top 3 in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes. If Angelista and Lorenzo finish Top 3 in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ellie and Aidan finish Top 3 in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ellie and Ope finish Top 3 in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ellie and Sam finish Top 3 in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ellie and Sean finish Top 3 in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ellie and Samraj finish Top 3 in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ellie and Lorenzo finish Top 3 in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jasmine and Aidan finish Top 3 in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jasmine and Ope finish Top 3 in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jasmine and Sam finish Top 3 in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jasmine and Sean finish Top 3 in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jasmine and Samraj finish Top 3 in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jasmine and Lorenzo finish Top 3 in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lola and Aidan finish Top 3 in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lola and Ope finish Top 3 in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lola and Sam finish Top 3 in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lola and Sean finish Top 3 in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lola and Samraj finish Top 3 in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lola and Lorenzo finish Top 3 in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes. If Robyn and Aidan finish Top 3 in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes. If Robyn and Ope finish Top 3 in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes. If Robyn and Sam finish Top 3 in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes. If Robyn and Sean finish Top 3 in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes. If Robyn and Samraj finish Top 3 in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes. If Robyn and Lorenzo finish Top 3 in Love Island UK Season 13, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader sentiment and often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts or fan polls. While analysts may rely on editing patterns, producer narratives, and relationship timelines, market prices incorporate collective intelligence from thousands of traders betting on outcomes. Prediction markets tend to update faster than published analyst predictions when new episodes air or couple drama unfolds. Comparing Kalshi odds to entertainment analysts' published rankings can reveal whether the market is more bullish or bearish on specific couples than expert consensus.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Love Island UK Season 13: Top 3 Couples on Kalshi is priced as a set of binary or categorical contracts representing each potential top-three couple outcome. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, where the price reflects the implied probability of that couple finishing in the top three. As new episodes air and couple eliminations occur, prices adjust based on supply and demand from traders updating their conviction. The market remains active until the final resolution date of Aug 31, 2026, when the actual top three couples are determined and contracts settle accordingly.
The Love Island UK Season 13: Top 3 Couples market resolves on Aug 31, 2026, following the finale of Love Island UK Season 13. Resolution is determined by the official final rankings announced by the show, identifying which three couples remain at the end of the season. The market will settle based on the confirmed top-three finalists as broadcast and verified through official Love Island UK sources. Traders should monitor the show's schedule and any production announcements that may affect the finale timing or format.
Major signals include weekly eliminations and recouplings, which directly reduce the pool of possible top-three couples and shift odds for remaining pairs. Relationship drama, public voting results, and surprise bombshell arrivals can rapidly change market sentiment. Episodes revealing couple compatibility or conflict often trigger sharp price moves. Social media trends and fan voting patterns influence trader expectations about which couples have staying power. Unexpected exits due to illness or personal reasons, or surprise couple formations, can also reshape the market. Traders monitor all broadcast content and official Love Island announcements for catalysts.