TOTAL VOLUME:

$97.5b

24H VOL:

$264,423,826

24H TRANSACTIONS:

951,878,243

OPEN INTEREST:

$2,171,275,957

831,219

Markets across

15,133

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

973

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

BETA
Love Island UK S13 · Week 7 elimination

Who will be eliminated in Love Island UK S13 Week 7?

Jul 12, 2026, 12:40 PM EST - Jul 18, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$111,082
Volume 24h:
$27,891
37%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$41,190
13%
PredictionHero
Ellie 97%
kalshi
Elicia 94%
kalshi
Finley 90%
kalshi
Jul 12Jul 12Jul 12Jul 13Jul 13Jul 13Jul 13Jul 13Jul 14Jul 14Jul 14Jul 14Jul 14Jul 15Jul 15Jul 15Jul 15Jul 15Jul 15Jul 15Jul 16Jul 16Jul 16Jul 16Jul 16020406080100

Time left: 01d:22h:37m

Will Ellie be eliminated from Love Island UK S13 before Jul 18, 2026?

97%chance
Amount

$

$20

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$100

$500

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
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Liquidity
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24h
7d
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Description

Love Island UK Season 13 Week 7 features an elimination event where one or more contestants are removed from the villa. Contestants can be eliminated through voting, eviction, voluntary withdrawal, disqualification, or producer removal, with the elimination officially announced via broadcast, official website, verified social media, or press releases.

Kalshi

A contestant is officially eliminated from Love Island UK: Season 13 if they are voted off, evicted, knocked out, removed from further contention, voluntarily withdraw, are disqualified, or are removed by producers before July 18, 2026. Official elimination declarations must be made through the program broadcast, official website, verified social media accounts, or press releases. Multiple simultaneous eliminations count toward resolution. A contestant's initial elimination counts even if they later return to the villa during the season. However, eliminations that are immediately reversed within the same episode do not count. Temporary suspensions, medical holds, or finishing as runner-up in the finale are not considered eliminations. If Love Island UK: Season 13 is canceled without officially declaring eliminations, the market resolves to No.

Frequently asked questions

The Love Island UK Week 7 elimination market dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and trading activity around which islander will be eliminated during week seven of the current season. The interface displays current market prices, historical price movements, and 24-hour volume to help traders monitor sentiment shifts as the episode approaches. This market reflects collective trader expectations about the elimination outcome, updated continuously as new information and viewer reactions emerge throughout the week.

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they aggregate real-time trader conviction rather than relying on a single expert opinion. While analysts may base predictions on voting patterns and edit footage, this market incorporates live betting activity and crowd intelligence. Comparing the two reveals whether professional forecasters and the broader trading community align on the elimination outcome, or whether traders are pricing in factors analysts have overlooked or weighted differently.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-matching between buyers and sellers, with each outcome assigned a probability-based contract price between 0 and 100 cents. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy contracts if they believe an outcome is underpriced and sell if they think it is overpriced, with the market price converging toward the true probability as more capital flows in. This mechanism ensures prices reflect the collective assessment of elimination likelihood in real time.

This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, once the week seven elimination episode has aired and the outcome is verifiable from credible public sources. The resolution confirms which islander was eliminated during that episode, with the winning contract paying out based on the verified result. Traders should monitor official Love Island UK announcements and broadcast schedules to anticipate the resolution window.

Key catalysts include viewer voting patterns, social media sentiment shifts, and behind-the-scenes footage or spoilers that hint at elimination likelihood. Coupling dynamics, public perception changes, and unexpected islander exits or re-entries can all reshape trader expectations. Additionally, official Love Island UK teasers and episode previews often trigger sharp price movements as new information becomes available, making real-time monitoring essential for active traders.

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