TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 12:04 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how many rushing touchdowns each team scores in a college football matchup. It focuses on offensive performance through ground-game scoring plays, excluding any points from two-point conversions. The outcome depends purely on the game's final statistics, regardless of the game's timing adjustments.
All markets resolve based on the official number of rushing touchdowns scored by each team during the Louisville vs Ole Miss college football game scheduled for September 6, 2026, including any overtime periods. A rushing touchdown is defined as a player scoring by running the ball into the end zone, with specific provisions for fumble recoveries: if a player recovers their own fumble and scores, it counts; if another player recovers and scores, it does not. Successful two-point conversions, whether in regulation or overtime, are explicitly excluded from all counts. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks often incorporate biases or seek to balance their risk, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of many traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – both prediction market prices and sportsbook odds will adjust. However, prediction markets often become more accurate closer to the event as trading volume increases and more information is factored in.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices efficiently, as they can profit by correctly predicting the event's outcome. The more traders who believe a particular outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a real-time assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of rushing touchdowns scored by both Louisville and Ole Miss will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future markets based on the results of this event.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a major catalyst, as would any changes in the projected weather conditions for the game. Unexpected coaching decisions regarding offensive strategies could also shift the market. Furthermore, news regarding team morale or player availability, even minor updates, can impact trading activity. Any significant information that alters perceptions of each team’s offensive capabilities has the potential to move the price of contracts in this market.