TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 12:04 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many touchdowns are caught by players during a college football matchup. Each market focuses on a specific threshold of receiving touchdowns for either team, determining whether they meet or exceed that number in the game.
All markets resolve based on the total number of receiving touchdowns scored by each team during the Louisville vs Ole Miss college football game scheduled for September 6, 2026, including any overtime periods. Receiving touchdowns are defined as those where the offensive player catches the ball and crosses into the end zone without being tackled. Touchdowns resulting from fumble recoveries by another player do not count, unless the receiving player recovers their own fumble and scores. Successful two-point conversions, regardless of when they occur, are excluded from all counts. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original kickoff time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, markets will resolve to a fair price, reflecting the most accurate assessment possible under the circumstances.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially in the lead-up to an event. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to continuously adjust probabilities based on new information and insights. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on factors influencing the game, such as player injuries or weather conditions. It’s common to see this market react faster to breaking news than traditional bookmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants regarding the likelihood of each possible result.
This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of touchdowns scored in the Louisville vs Ole Miss game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, and any disputes will be handled according to Kalshi’s standard procedures. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game results to understand the market's settlement.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Louisville or Ole Miss would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing game, could also move the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced before the game could influence trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also contribute to shifts in the odds.