TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 9:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in a specific quarter of a college football game between Louisville and Ole Miss. The outcome depends solely on the performance during the second quarter of play, regardless of the overall game result.
If Ole Miss wins the 2nd quarter of the Louisville vs Ole Miss college football game originally scheduled for Sep 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Louisville wins the 2nd quarter of the Louisville vs Ole Miss college football game originally scheduled for Sep 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd quarter of the Louisville vs Ole Miss college football game originally scheduled for Sep 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and information. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on their own analysis, while this market allows traders to adjust probabilities based on new information or differing perspectives. Over time, the odds on Kalshi may converge with sportsbook odds as more information becomes available, or they may diverge if traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the event. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and sentiment. The current price indicates how much it costs to take a position on a particular team winning the second quarter, and changes in price signal shifts in market expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the second quarter of the Louisville vs Ole Miss game will be declared the winner for the purposes of this market. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and results, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market is settled.
Several signals could influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Louisville or Ole Miss teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game's style of play, could also shift expectations. Additionally, pre-game analysis from sports analysts and updated team statistics released before kickoff could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market. Unexpected announcements regarding team strategies or coaching decisions might also impact trading activity.