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Closed: Sep 6, 10:39 PM EST
Kalshi
Louisville and Ole Miss will face off in a college football game where either team can pursue a two-point score following a touchdown. The market will settle positively if either squad achieves this scoring method before the regulation time ends.
If Louisville and Ole Miss collectively record at least 1 successful 2-point conversion in regulation of the Louisville vs Ole Miss college football game originally scheduled for Sep 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and to balance action on both sides of a bet, while this market represents the probability assigned by individuals trading on Kalshi. Generally, you may find that prediction markets are more responsive to new information and less susceptible to biases that can influence sportsbook lines. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new developments related to team injuries or weather conditions emerge.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell shares representing the probability of a successful 2-point conversion, and the price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people believe a 2-point conversion will succeed, the price of shares representing that outcome will rise, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market continuously updates to reflect the latest information and trader sentiment. The current price indicates the market’s implied probability of success.
This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, following the completion of the Louisville vs Ole Miss football game. The outcome will be determined by whether a 2-point conversion attempt is successful during the game. The result will be verified against credible public reporting from official sports sources. Shares will pay out $1.00 for those who correctly predicted the outcome and $0.00 for those who did not. Traders should monitor the game closely as it progresses to understand how the outcome is unfolding.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Louisville or Ole Miss teams would likely impact the perceived likelihood of a successful 2-point conversion attempt. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions that could affect the kicking or passing game, could also influence trading activity. Finally, any strategic announcements from either coaching staff regarding their approach to 2-point conversions could lead to shifts in the market price.