TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 9:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance gap between Louisville City and Loudoun United FC in an upcoming USL Championship soccer match. Each market focuses on different margins of victory for either team, reflecting how decisively one side might dominate the game. The outcomes depend solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the margin of victory in the Louisville City vs Loudoun United FC professional USL Championship soccer game scheduled for September 19, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Louisville City wins by more than 2.5 goals, Louisville City wins by more than 1.5 goals, Loudoun United FC wins by more than 1.5 goals, or Loudoun United FC wins by more than 2.5 goals. All markets are independent assessments of potential score differentials and are not affiliated with or endorsed by the governing league or its associated entities. Trademarks and brand names remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own independent beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. It's important to note that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the spread in the Louisville City vs Loudoun United match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price indicates the market's collective forecast for the final point difference.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Louisville City vs Loudoun United match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the league and will determine whether the actual spread exceeded or fell short of the contract price. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those on the losing side may incur a loss. The final score will be the definitive factor in determining the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Louisville City or Loudoun United FC would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to heavily impact the game, could also shift the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team tactics or coaching decisions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market. Monitoring these signals is crucial for informed trading.