TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 9:36 PM EST
Kalshi
In a USL Championship soccer match, Louisville City faces El Paso Locomotive FC. The outcome depends on the margin of victory for either team after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
The event determines whether Louisville City or El Paso Locomotive FC achieves a specified winning margin in their USL Championship match scheduled for Sep 12, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are evaluated: Louisville City winning by more than 2.5 goals, Louisville City winning by more than 1.5 goals, El Paso Locomotive FC winning by more than 1.5 goals, and El Paso Locomotive FC winning by more than 2.5 goals. The match must conclude within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from consideration. If any of the specified conditions are met, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a smaller team of experts, and can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management. This market, like others on Kalshi, allows individuals to express their beliefs about the outcome, which can lead to odds that diverge from those found at sportsbooks. It’s important to consider both sources when forming your own opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective forecast. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new information or changing sentiment. Currently, the most active contracts relate to the spread, indicating strong interest in predicting the margin of victory.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Louisville City vs El Paso match, specifically the spread, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the contract's value at resolution. It’s important to monitor official sources for the confirmed result to understand the final settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or weather conditions could shift expectations and impact the odds. Unexpected performance in prior matches for either Louisville City or El Paso Locomotive FC could also drive movement. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi could cause price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market before it resolves.