TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 9:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the exact final score of a USL Championship soccer match between Louisville City FC and El Paso Locomotive FC. The markets specify resolution based on the score at the end of regulation time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
In the upcoming USL Championship game between Louisville City FC and El Paso Locomotive FC, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Louisville City FC vs. El Paso Locomotive FC match originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the Louisville City vs El Paso Locomotive FC USL Championship match scheduled for September 12, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined goals exceed a specified threshold—ranging from more than 0.5 to more than 5.5 goals—within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. All markets share the same secondary disclaimer stating that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league and that all trademarks belong to their respective owners. The resolution for each threshold is independent, meaning each market is determined solely by whether the final goal count surpasses its unique cutoff.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while prediction markets aggregate individual predictions. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when significant public information isn't fully priced into sportsbook lines. The efficiency of this market, as indicated by its volume, can sometimes result in more accurate predictions than those offered by conventional betting venues. However, both offer unique insights into the potential outcome.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise due to variations in trader demographics, market liquidity, and the specific incentives offered on each platform. Polymarket currently favors an Exact Score of 0-0 at 98%, while Kalshi leans toward Will over 4.5 goals be scored? at an unspecified percentage. These differing preferences reflect the unique characteristics of each platform's user base and their individual risk assessments. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform – $4,996 overall – can influence price discovery, leading to temporary discrepancies until market consensus is reached.