TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 2:14 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the total points scored in the Louisiana vs USC college football game will exceed 50.5 points. Currently, the probability of Over 50.5 points scored is at 99.0% on Kalshi. Resolution will be determined based on the total points scored in the Louisiana vs USC game, as reported according to the rules detailed in the resolution source. Keep a close eye on the game itself, as this market will resolve to Yes or No based on the final score following the game originally scheduled for September 12, 2026, with final resolution occurring by September 13, 2026.
All markets resolve based on whether the collective points scored by both teams in the Louisiana vs USC college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 38.5 to 80.5 points. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official score. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold they bet on.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on unique information or perspectives held by traders. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals buying and selling contracts based on their own analysis. You may find that this market incorporates news or insights not yet fully reflected in traditional betting lines, potentially offering a different perspective on the likely outcome. It’s common to see some initial discrepancies that narrow as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy 'yes' contracts (believing the total points will be above a certain threshold) or 'no' contracts (believing it will be below). The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective prediction of all participants. The current price represents the probability of that specific total points outcome occurring, as perceived by the market.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the Louisiana vs USC game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. If the actual total points fall above the threshold represented by a 'yes' contract, those contracts will settle at $1. If the total points fall below that threshold, 'no' contracts will settle at $1. All other contracts will settle at $0. The resolution will be based on official game statistics.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Louisiana or USC would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for a high- or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy could also play a role. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants can sometimes signal shifts in sentiment and drive price changes in this market.