TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 2:14 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether USC will win their college football game against Louisiana by more than 7.5 points. Currently, the probability of USC winning by over 7.5 points on Kalshi is 98.0%. The market will resolve based on the final score of the Louisiana vs USC game, as determined by the game’s official results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve to Yes if USC wins by more than 41.5 points, with final resolution expected around September 13, 2026, following the conclusion of the game.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Louisiana vs USC college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. If USC wins by more than the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Postponements are permitted if the game commences within 48 hours of the original start time, with resolution based on the final result. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds tend to align with those found at sportsbooks, but often reflect a more accurate aggregate of informed opinion. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals who are incentivized to forecast correctly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information or biases present in each venue. If significant differences emerge, it may signal that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the event, or vice versa, offering potential value for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different sides of the Louisiana vs USC spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information, leading to dynamic price movements. The closer we get to the game, the more these prices will likely converge as uncertainty decreases and more information becomes available.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Louisiana vs USC football game. The market will settle to 100 if the actual spread is in favor of the outcome purchased, and 0 if it is not. Traders holding contracts on the winning side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Louisiana or USC teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse playing conditions, could also impact the spread. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, may also play a role, though the market often incorporates information more efficiently than traditional sources. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also shift the odds.