TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 1:30 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both teams during the third quarter of a specific college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the points needed to trigger a 'Yes' outcome, allowing participants to bet on various levels of scoring intensity in that quarter alone.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams specifically during the third quarter of the designated college football game. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from over 2.5 points to over 27.5 points, which must be exceeded for the market to resolve to 'Yes'. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original scheduled time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the actual third-quarter result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to set lines that balance action on both sides and ensure a profit margin, while prediction market participants are incentivized to express their true beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when there is strong disagreement among participants. It’s common to see this market reflect information not yet fully incorporated into sportsbook lines, potentially offering an edge to informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the 3rd quarter total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on these orders. As more information becomes available, the price will adjust to reflect the changing expectations of market participants.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official 3rd quarter total from the Louisiana vs USC game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contracts. The resolution process relies on publicly available and independently verifiable data, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Louisiana or USC teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also move the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as public perception shifts reflected in polls or expert analysis, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.