TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 1:30 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the point differential in the third quarter of a college football game between Louisiana and USC. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold that must be exceeded by either team during that quarter to resolve as 'Yes'.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the third quarter of play in the Louisiana vs USC college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team exceeds the specified point differential threshold for that market during the third quarter. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, incorporating a margin, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply variations in opinion. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or as the event draws closer, offering a unique perspective on the expected result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability that the actual spread will fall on that side of the line. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The current price indicates what the market believes is the fair probability of each outcome, based on available information and participant analysis.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread for the third quarter of the Louisiana vs USC game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the Louisiana vs USC spread between now and game day. News regarding key player injuries on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team strategies or coaching decisions could also impact the market. Unexpected weather forecasts for the game location might also shift expectations, as could major shifts in public perception based on pre-game analysis and commentary. Any significant information affecting the perceived strength of either team has the potential to move this market.