TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 12:32 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both teams during the second quarter of a college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the points needed to resolve as 'Yes', allowing participants to bet on various levels of scoring intensity in that specific quarter.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the second quarter of the specified college football game. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from more than 2.5 points to more than 27.5 points. If the collective points exceed the threshold specified in a market, it resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored during the second quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold they chose.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own analysis. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public perception deviates from the sportsbook's initial assessment. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information and adjust probabilities based on collective insight.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set the price by placing bids and asks. The current price represents the probability that the total points scored in the 2nd quarter will be *below* that value. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly updating their valuations based on news, injuries, and other relevant factors, creating a dynamic and responsive market. The price fluctuates as traders buy and sell contracts, reflecting their collective expectations for the game's outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the 2nd quarter of the Louisiana vs USC game will be used to determine whether contracts settle at 100 (winning) or 0 (losing). The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants. It's important to monitor the game's progress leading up to the end of the 2nd quarter.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Louisiana or USC would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they affect the passing game, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by pre-game analysis or social media trends, could also play a role. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the likely 2nd quarter scoring potential will likely move the price.