TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 11:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the number of points a team must exceed for the market to resolve positively.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals from the Louisiana Tech vs LSU college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. For any market, if the specified team scores more points than the stated threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point threshold they are tracking.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely buy and sell contracts, leading to prices that more closely represent the true perceived probability of an event. Often, you’ll find that prediction markets are quicker to incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs, but as the event approaches, the prices tend to converge as more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders set the odds by placing buy and sell orders. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, scaled to a value between 0 and 100. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available liquidity at different price points, giving traders insight into the potential impact of their orders. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and reflect collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both Louisiana Tech and LSU will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on whether the actual team totals are above or below the threshold defined by each contract. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout of 100, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will receive nothing. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Louisiana Tech or LSU would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift the odds. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could signal shifts in sentiment and move the market, as could public perception shifts reflected in polls or analyst predictions.