TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 11:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the final quarter of a college football game between Louisiana Tech and LSU. It provides a way to speculate on the momentum and performance of each team specifically in the last quarter of play, excluding any overtime periods.
The market resolves based on which team scores more points in the fourth quarter of the designated college football game between Louisiana Tech and LSU, excluding overtime. If LSU scores more points in the fourth quarter, the 'LSU wins 4th Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If Louisiana Tech scores more points in the fourth quarter, the 'Louisiana Tech wins 4th Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score an equal number of points in the fourth quarter, the 'Tie 4th Quarter' market resolves to Yes. For all markets, only points scored during the fourth quarter—excluding overtime—are considered. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original scheduled time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the most likely outcome. Often, prediction markets are considered more accurate than traditional polls or expert opinions, as they incentivize participants to be well-informed and make rational predictions. However, sportsbook odds still represent a significant benchmark for comparison.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice-versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top outcome, as indicated by trader activity, is LSU winning the 4th quarter, though this can change rapidly based on new information or shifts in sentiment. The volume traded provides insight into the confidence level behind each price.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final result of which team won the 4th quarter of the Louisiana Tech vs LSU game will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and sources, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on their positions in the market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Louisiana Tech or LSU teams would likely cause significant movement. Game day conditions, such as weather, could also play a role. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first three quarters, including scoring drives and defensive stops, will heavily influence trader sentiment and the market price. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments could also contribute to shifts in the odds.