TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 10:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the third quarter of a college football game between Louisiana Tech and LSU. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of points by which either team must win that quarter to resolve positively.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the third quarter of play in the Louisiana Tech vs LSU college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team wins the third quarter by more than the stated point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official final result of that quarter. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, they can drive the price on Kalshi in a different direction. This can sometimes lead to prediction market prices being more accurate than sportsbook lines, or simply reflecting a different assessment of probability.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts at varying prices based on their expectations. The price of a contract represents the probability of that particular spread occurring in the third quarter. As more traders buy contracts predicting a certain outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information or shifts in sentiment. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread difference in the third quarter between LSU and Louisiana Tech will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting the correct spread will settle at $100, while those predicting an incorrect spread will settle at $0. The resolution will be based on official game statistics reported by a trusted sports data source.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either LSU or Louisiana Tech would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift expectations. Additionally, any late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could move the market. Finally, large trading volume from informed traders could signal a shift in sentiment and cause the price to adjust accordingly.