TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 6:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both teams combined during the third quarter of a specific college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the total points, allowing participants to bet on various levels of scoring intensity in that quarter alone.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the third quarter of the Louisiana Tech vs Baylor college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from over 2.5 to over 27.5 points); if the combined third-quarter points exceed the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. Postponements are accounted for: if the game starts within 48 hours of the original time, it proceeds as scheduled. If not started within 48 hours, markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored during the third quarter count, and Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights different from those captured in traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. As a result, the prices here can sometimes diverge from sportsbook odds, potentially offering a different perspective on the likely result of the Louisiana Tech vs Baylor game. It’s a valuable comparison point for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 3rd quarter total. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific total occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the game approaches. The current price reflects the aggregated assessment of all participants trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 3rd quarter of the Louisiana Tech vs Baylor game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, and the market will pay out to contract holders based on whether their predicted total was correct. The price at resolution will determine the payout for those who held contracts predicting the final 3rd quarter total.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Louisiana Tech or Baylor teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also move the market. Furthermore, as the game day approaches, any updated analysis or predictions from sports analysts could shift trader sentiment. Finally, even early scoring trends in the first and second quarters of the game itself could lead to adjustments in the price of this market.